Working Papers
Racial Inequality in Property Tax Appeals: Evidence from Field Experiments with Homeowners and Assessors
with Justin Holz and David Novgorodsky
*This project has been supported by grants from the John Mitchell Lab and the Russell Sage Foundation
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Despite minority homeowners facing a disproportionate property tax burden, they are less likely to take action to reduce their taxes by filing an appeal. We use two field experiments, one with homeowners and the other with county assessors, to understand the drivers of inequality in property taxes and homeowner appeal behavior. In a survey experiment with Indiana homeowners, we show that information frictions and perceived discrimination contribute to the racial appeal gap. We additionally find racial differences in the treatment of homeowners by assessors based on both appeal outcomes and through a complementary correspondence study where assessors are less likely to provide aid to minority homeowners who want to appeal. This provides additional evidence of discrimination. Additionally, we consider the gender appeal gap, and document unequal treatment between female and male homeowners by assessors. Overall, our results indicate that appeals are not effective at reducing biases in assessments.
Costly Centralization: Evidence from Community College Expansions
Revisions requested, International Tax and Public Finance
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Centralization of public goods with spillovers limits free-riding and increases provision, but general equilibrium responses to changes across space can undermine its value. This paper considers this trade-off for community colleges. In Texas, the level of centralization has increased over time as school districts voted to join their local college's tax base and coalition to provide these services. School districts that joined, as well the original tax base, saw higher aggregate property values after these geographic expansions, suggesting more centralization is beneficial. I then estimate a general equilibrium model to understand the optimal level of centralization in the Austin MSA. Pure centralization, where all school districts join the coalition, increases average yearly household welfare by $29 ($23M overall) but is not optimal because household sorting responses adversely affect the housing market. There are 11,065 feasible intermediate levels of centralization, that include only some school districts, that raise welfare by more.
Minimum Wages and Racial Differences in Hiring: Evidence from a Field Experiment
with Alec Brandon, Justin Holz, and Haruka Uchida. Revised and resubmitted, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics.
*This project has been supported by the W.E. Upjohn Institute Early Career Research Award
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When minimum wages increase, discriminating employers may try to avoid regulatory burdens by substituting away from disadvantaged workers. We test this hypothesis using a resume correspondence study with 35,000 applications around three ex-ante uncertain minimum wage changes. Before the increases, applicants with distinctively Black names were 19% less likely to receive a callback than equally qualified applicants with distinctively white names. Announcements of minimum wage hikes substantially reduce the callbacks for both types of applicants but shrink the racial callback gap by 80% for the subsequent year for which we have data. We interpret our results through a hiring model to show that the gap shrinks because white applicants are more likely to be marginal, partly due to statistical discrimination. We show how researchers or policymakers can use our framework, without policy variation, to predict how labor market policies will change racial disparities in other settings.
Skills, Majors, and Jobs: Does Higher Education Respond?
with Johnathan Conzelmann, Steven Hemelt, Brad Hershbein, Shawn Martin, and Kevin Stange. Submitted.
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How do college students and postsecondary institutions react to changes in skill demand in the U.S. labor market? We quantify the magnitude and nature of response in the 4-year sector using a new measure of labor demand at the institution-major level that combines online job ads with geographic locations of alumni from a professional networking platform. Within a shift-share setup, we find that the 4-year sector responds. We estimate elasticities for undergraduate degrees and credits centered around 1.3, generally increasing with time horizon. Changes in non-tenure-track faculty allocations and the credits they teach partially mediate this overall response. We provide further evidence that the magnitude of the overall response depends on both student demand and institutional supply-side constraints. Our findings illuminate the nature of educational production in higher education and suggest that policy efforts that aim to align human capital investment with labor demand may struggle to achieve such goals if they target only one side of the market.
Money Well Spent? Partisan Reasoning and Polarized Support for Higher Education
with Reuben Hurst, and Michael Ricks. Submitted
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We conduct three experiments to study the causes and consequences of polarized demand for public spending on higher education. In the first survey experiment we find that information reduces cross-party gaps in ideal policies by up to 32% and polarized communication with officials by 23%. We identify partisan differences in information processing as a key mechanism in the second experiment. Finally, by sending these letters to elected officials in a natural field experiment, we find that receiving constituent demand increases policymakers' engagement on higher education issues. Our findings highlight how polarization may stem from diverging perceptions---not solely heterogeneous tastes.
Publications and Accepted Papers
Why is Math Cheaper than English? Understanding Cost Differences in Higher Education
With Steven Hemelt, Kevin Stange, Fernando Furquim, and John E. Sawyer. Journal of Labor Economics 2021
Press: Inside Higher Edu, IZA Newsroom, MarketWatch, The Seattle Times
Optimal Minimum Wage Setting in A Federal System
with Matthew Wilson. Journal of Urban Economics 2021.
Press: LSE USAPP
Grads on the Go: Measuring College-Specific Labor Markets for Graduates
with Johnathan Conzelmann, Steven Hemelt, Brad Hershbein, Shawn Martin, and Kevin Stange. Forthcoming, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management.
College Choice, Private Options, and the Incidence of Public Investment in Higher Education
with John Bound. Forthcoming, Journal of Human Resources.
Toward an Understanding of Tax Amnesty Take-up: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment
with Patricia Gil, Justin Holz, John List, and Alejandro Zentner. Journal of Public Economics 2024.
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In modern economies, when debt and trust issues arise, a partial forgiveness policy is often the solution to induce payment and increase disclosure. For their part, governments around the globe continue to use tax amnesties as a strategy to allow debtors to make amends for past misdeeds in exchange for partial debt forgiveness. While ubiquitous, much remains unknown about the basic facts of how well amnesties work, for whom, and why. We present a simple theoretical construct that provides both economic clarity into tax amnesties as well as insights into the necessary behavioral parameters that one must estimate to understand the consequences of tax amnesties. We partner with the Dominican Republic Tax Authorities to design a natural field experiment that is linked to the theory to estimate key causal mechanisms. Empirical results from our field experiment, which covers 125,452 taxpayers who collectively owe $5.2 billion (5.5% of GDP) in known debt, highlight the import of deterrence laws, beliefs about future amnesties, and tax morale for debt payment and increased disclosure. Importantly, we find large short run effects: our most effective treatment (deterrence) increased payments of known debt by 25% and hidden debt by 48%. Further, we find no evidence of our intervention backfiring on subsequent tax payments.
Measuring Racial Educational Disparities Over Time amongst Top Achievers
with Uditi Karna, Min Sok Lee, John List, and Haruka Uchida. Nature 2025.
Works in Progress
The Allocation of State Appropriations Across Academic Departments
with Kevin Stange, and Travis Triggs.
Mobility and the Distributional Implications of State Divestment in Higher Education
with John Bound, Soyoung Han, and Shwetha Raghuraman.
Major Differences in Income Contingent Student Loan Repayment
with Ellen Stuart
The Economics of Grant Giving
with Luigi Butera, Sofie Cairo, Faith Fatchen, Anne-Sophie Lassen, and John List.
*This project has been supported by a grant from the Sloan Foundation.
College Majors and Programs: Choices and Returns
with Johnathan G. Conzelmann, and Stephanie Owen
Book chapter for AEFP Live Handbook on Education Finance and Policy Research